Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies point to a warm, humid air mass lingering over Toronto on August 31, with overnight lows expected near 19–20°C amid southerly to easterly winds, high dew points near 18–19°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms further suppress temperature drops compared to the long-term average low of 16.3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing, wind strength, and precipitation intensity can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; stronger southerly advection and thicker clouds support the higher end, while any brief clear spells could allow modest cooling toward 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings tonight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 31?
18°C 43%
23°C or higher 39%
19°C 34%
20°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
10%
14°C
5%
15°C
7%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C
43%
19°C
34%
20°C
22%
21°C
12%
22°C
4%
23°C or higher
39%
18°C 43%
23°C or higher 39%
19°C 34%
20°C 22%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
13°C or below
$145 Wol.
10%
14°C
$96 Wol.
5%
15°C
$50 Wol.
7%
16°C
$0 Wol.
19%
17°C
$0 Wol.
21%
18°C
$0 Wol.
43%
19°C
$0 Wol.
34%
20°C
$0 Wol.
22%
21°C
$0 Wol.
12%
22°C
$140 Wol.
4%
23°C or higher
$135 Wol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies point to a warm, humid air mass lingering over Toronto on August 31, with overnight lows expected near 19–20°C amid southerly to easterly winds, high dew points near 18–19°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms further suppress temperature drops compared to the long-term average low of 16.3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing, wind strength, and precipitation intensity can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; stronger southerly advection and thicker clouds support the higher end, while any brief clear spells could allow modest cooling toward 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings tonight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$566Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies point to a warm, humid air mass lingering over Toronto on August 31, with overnight lows expected near 19–20°C amid southerly to easterly winds, high dew points near 18–19°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms further suppress temperature drops compared to the long-term average low of 16.3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing, wind strength, and precipitation intensity can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; stronger southerly advection and thicker clouds support the higher end, while any brief clear spells could allow modest cooling toward 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings tonight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$566Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies point to a warm, humid air mass lingering over Toronto on August 31, with overnight lows expected near 19–20°C amid southerly to easterly winds, high dew points near 18–19°C, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms further suppress temperature drops compared to the long-term average low of 16.3°C. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 18–20°C because small differences in forecast cloud timing, wind strength, and precipitation intensity can shift the minimum by 1–2°C; stronger southerly advection and thicker clouds support the higher end, while any brief clear spells could allow modest cooling toward 18°C. Updated model runs and official briefings tonight will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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