Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
28°C 45%
29°C 38%
27°C 14%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
14%
28°C
45%
29°C
38%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 38%
27°C 14%
26°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
23°C or below
$95 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$40 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$127 Wol.
1%
26°C
$37 Wol.
3%
27°C
$210 Wol.
14%
28°C
$127 Wol.
45%
29°C
$305 Wol.
38%
30°C
$54 Wol.
1%
31°C
$200 Wol.
2%
32°C
$79 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$321 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,596Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,596Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on August 7 will likely settle near 28–29°C, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and the urban heat island effect that retains warmth in the densely built environment. Minor differences between leading outcomes hinge on subtle variations in expected wind patterns, cloud cover, and any localized showers that could enhance or suppress nocturnal temperature drops, as captured in ensemble model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration. Historical August baselines show typical lows of 25–27°C, but current conditions support slightly elevated readings. Traders' tight split reflects genuine uncertainty in final model guidance ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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