Latest numerical weather models point to a Shanghai high near 34 °C on August 7, with early showers and increasing cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating after recent days that reached 35–36 °C. Shanghai’s coastal location allows sea-breeze advection of cooler, moister air from the East China Sea, while high boundary-layer humidity fuels scattered convection that can cap afternoon temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable timing of any thunderstorms introduce the narrow spread between 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes; even modest shifts in insolation or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term mesoscale uncertainties against the broader climatological August average of 31–32 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 7?
34°C 42%
33°C 38%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
$15,220 Wol.
$15,220 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
42%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 38%
35°C 14%
32°C 8%
$15,220 Wol.
$15,220 Wol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
38%
34°C
42%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models point to a Shanghai high near 34 °C on August 7, with early showers and increasing cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating after recent days that reached 35–36 °C. Shanghai’s coastal location allows sea-breeze advection of cooler, moister air from the East China Sea, while high boundary-layer humidity fuels scattered convection that can cap afternoon temperatures. Urban heat-island effects and variable timing of any thunderstorms introduce the narrow spread between 33 °C and 35 °C outcomes; even modest shifts in insolation or wind direction can alter the daily maximum by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these short-term mesoscale uncertainties against the broader climatological August average of 31–32 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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