Recent model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to peak temperatures in Busan on August 8 centering near 34–35 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Forecasters are weighing daytime heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high, moderated by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze effects from the Korea Strait, and potential moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon. Small differences in predicted wind speeds or timing of any passing disturbance can shift maximums by 1 °C, creating genuine forecast uncertainty that traders price accordingly. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 8?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 8?
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 20%
33°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
9%
32°C
10%
33°C
18%
34°C
26%
35°C
28%
36°C
16%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 28%
34°C 26%
36°C 20%
33°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
29°C or below
$300 Wol.
1%
30°C
$360 Wol.
4%
31°C
$27 Wol.
9%
32°C
$0 Wol.
10%
33°C
$0 Wol.
18%
34°C
$0 Wol.
26%
35°C
$9 Wol.
28%
36°C
$0 Wol.
16%
37°C
$19 Wol.
3%
38°C
$10 Wol.
2%
39°C or higher
$10 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to peak temperatures in Busan on August 8 centering near 34–35 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Forecasters are weighing daytime heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high, moderated by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze effects from the Korea Strait, and potential moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon. Small differences in predicted wind speeds or timing of any passing disturbance can shift maximums by 1 °C, creating genuine forecast uncertainty that traders price accordingly. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$735Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to peak temperatures in Busan on August 8 centering near 34–35 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Forecasters are weighing daytime heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high, moderated by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze effects from the Korea Strait, and potential moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon. Small differences in predicted wind speeds or timing of any passing disturbance can shift maximums by 1 °C, creating genuine forecast uncertainty that traders price accordingly. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$735Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to peak temperatures in Busan on August 8 centering near 34–35 °C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. Forecasters are weighing daytime heating under a typical late-summer subtropical high, moderated by variable cloud cover, sea-breeze effects from the Korea Strait, and potential moisture advection from the East Asian monsoon. Small differences in predicted wind speeds or timing of any passing disturbance can shift maximums by 1 °C, creating genuine forecast uncertainty that traders price accordingly. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will further refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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