Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including elevated humidity and persistent cloud cover, limit overnight radiative cooling, while steering patterns and the absence of stronger frontal systems or typhoon influences keep nighttime lows near seasonal averages of 25–26°C. Recent extended-range guidance shows stable high pressure with minimal variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds over cooler or warmer extremes. Updated observations from regional agencies will refine resolution as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
27°C 61%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
33%
27°C
61%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 61%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 19, 2026
21°C or below
$535 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$44 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Wol.
1%
25°C
$86 Wol.
5%
26°C
$706 Wol.
33%
27°C
$767 Wol.
61%
28°C
$237 Wol.
6%
29°C
$281 Wol.
2%
30°C
$62 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$311 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including elevated humidity and persistent cloud cover, limit overnight radiative cooling, while steering patterns and the absence of stronger frontal systems or typhoon influences keep nighttime lows near seasonal averages of 25–26°C. Recent extended-range guidance shows stable high pressure with minimal variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds over cooler or warmer extremes. Updated observations from regional agencies will refine resolution as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,204Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including elevated humidity and persistent cloud cover, limit overnight radiative cooling, while steering patterns and the absence of stronger frontal systems or typhoon influences keep nighttime lows near seasonal averages of 25–26°C. Recent extended-range guidance shows stable high pressure with minimal variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds over cooler or warmer extremes. Updated observations from regional agencies will refine resolution as the date approaches.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,204Data zakończenia
Aug 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models point to a minimum temperature of 26–27°C in Shanghai on August 19, 2026, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 90%. Late-summer subtropical conditions, including elevated humidity and persistent cloud cover, limit overnight radiative cooling, while steering patterns and the absence of stronger frontal systems or typhoon influences keep nighttime lows near seasonal averages of 25–26°C. Recent extended-range guidance shows stable high pressure with minimal variability in model runs, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds over cooler or warmer extremes. Updated observations from regional agencies will refine resolution as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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