**Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 near 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and surface high pressure favoring modest nocturnal radiative cooling.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating begins, with dew points supporting limited moisture and negligible precipitation risk. The narrow spread between the market’s leading 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily minimum and local urban heat-island effects, while warmer 17 °C or higher probabilities remain lower because most guidance shows sufficient clear-sky cooling to reach the mid-teens Celsius. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on September 14?
15°C 39%
16°C 36%
18°C 11%
14°C 11%
12°C or below
6%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
39%
16°C
36%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
15°C 39%
16°C 36%
18°C 11%
14°C 11%
12°C or below
6%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
39%
16°C
36%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on September 14 near 16–17 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and surface high pressure favoring modest nocturnal radiative cooling.** Overnight lows are expected to bottom out in the early morning hours before daytime heating begins, with dew points supporting limited moisture and negligible precipitation risk. The narrow spread between the market’s leading 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes reflects typical ensemble uncertainty in the precise timing of the daily minimum and local urban heat-island effects, while warmer 17 °C or higher probabilities remain lower because most guidance shows sufficient clear-sky cooling to reach the mid-teens Celsius. Updated model cycles and observational data from Météo-France will refine the exact threshold ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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