Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate an overnight low near 73°F in New York City, fueling the tight market split between the 72-73°F (43.5%) and 74-75°F (34.5%) bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from recent humidity limit how far temperatures drop. The urban heat island effect around Central Park further anchors the minimum above seasonal norms, consistent with August's warmer-than-average outlook. Minor variations in exact wind speed, cloud timing, or station microclimate readings could shift the final recorded low by 1–2°F, explaining the balanced trader positioning ahead of official verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 12?
74-75°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
14%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 39%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 14%
76-77°F 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 12, 2026
63°F or below
$422 Wol.
<1%
64-65°F
$22 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$516 Wol.
<1%
68-69°F
$177 Wol.
2%
70-71°F
$356 Wol.
14%
72-73°F
$607 Wol.
31%
74-75°F
$866 Wol.
39%
76-77°F
$47 Wol.
8%
78-79°F
$679 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$999 Wol.
<1%
82°F or higher
$295 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate an overnight low near 73°F in New York City, fueling the tight market split between the 72-73°F (43.5%) and 74-75°F (34.5%) bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from recent humidity limit how far temperatures drop. The urban heat island effect around Central Park further anchors the minimum above seasonal norms, consistent with August's warmer-than-average outlook. Minor variations in exact wind speed, cloud timing, or station microclimate readings could shift the final recorded low by 1–2°F, explaining the balanced trader positioning ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,957Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate an overnight low near 73°F in New York City, fueling the tight market split between the 72-73°F (43.5%) and 74-75°F (34.5%) bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from recent humidity limit how far temperatures drop. The urban heat island effect around Central Park further anchors the minimum above seasonal norms, consistent with August's warmer-than-average outlook. Minor variations in exact wind speed, cloud timing, or station microclimate readings could shift the final recorded low by 1–2°F, explaining the balanced trader positioning ahead of official verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,957Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and regional models indicate an overnight low near 73°F in New York City, fueling the tight market split between the 72-73°F (43.5%) and 74-75°F (34.5%) bins. Clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds overnight are expected to allow moderate radiative cooling, while elevated dew points from recent humidity limit how far temperatures drop. The urban heat island effect around Central Park further anchors the minimum above seasonal norms, consistent with August's warmer-than-average outlook. Minor variations in exact wind speed, cloud timing, or station microclimate readings could shift the final recorded low by 1–2°F, explaining the balanced trader positioning ahead of official verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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