Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 18–21°C range under persistent high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and efficient nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.8°C for the date, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to moderate the diurnal swing. Trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below and 17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 76% reflects model consensus on typical late-summer cooling rates, tempered by uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions and potential minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
16°C or below 46%
17°C 30%
18°C 29%
19°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
46%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
19%
20°C
16%
21°C
15%
22°C
15%
23°C
2%
24°C
7%
25°C
7%
26°C or higher
8%
16°C or below 46%
17°C 30%
18°C 29%
19°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
46%
17°C
$0 Wol.
30%
18°C
$0 Wol.
29%
19°C
$0 Wol.
19%
20°C
$0 Wol.
16%
21°C
$0 Wol.
15%
22°C
$0 Wol.
15%
23°C
$0 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
7%
25°C
$0 Wol.
7%
26°C or higher
$0 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 18–21°C range under persistent high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and efficient nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.8°C for the date, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to moderate the diurnal swing. Trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below and 17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 76% reflects model consensus on typical late-summer cooling rates, tempered by uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions and potential minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 18–21°C range under persistent high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and efficient nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.8°C for the date, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to moderate the diurnal swing. Trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below and 17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 76% reflects model consensus on typical late-summer cooling rates, tempered by uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions and potential minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on September 1 will likely fall in the 18–21°C range under persistent high-pressure conditions promoting clear skies and efficient nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 17.8°C for the date, with no incoming fronts or significant moisture expected to moderate the diurnal swing. Trader emphasis on the 16°C-or-below and 17°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 76% reflects model consensus on typical late-summer cooling rates, tempered by uncertainty in exact boundary-layer conditions and potential minor forecast revisions in the final 48 hours before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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