**Recent Met Office forecasts and real-time observations indicate mild overnight conditions in London, with temperatures holding around 15–17°C due to persistent southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling.** These factors position 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 86%, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight drop despite historical August averages near 13°C. Model runs show dew points near 14°C and light winds supporting stable readings rather than sharper declines, while showers later in the day are unlikely to affect the daily minimum. Upcoming official observations from sites like Heathrow will confirm the exact low, with any late-evening cooling potentially shifting probabilities toward 16°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 30?
Lowest temperature in London on August 30?
17°C 87%
16°C 11%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
$13,331 Wol.
$13,331 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
11%
17°C
87%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 87%
16°C 11%
15°C <1%
14°C <1%
$13,331 Wol.
$13,331 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$37 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$227 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$34 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,023 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$880 Wol.
1%
16°C
$2,965 Wol.
11%
17°C
$2,243 Wol.
87%
18°C
$2,771 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$1,043 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,044 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$1,061 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office forecasts and real-time observations indicate mild overnight conditions in London, with temperatures holding around 15–17°C due to persistent southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling.**
These factors position 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 86%, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight drop despite historical August averages near 13°C. Model runs show dew points near 14°C and light winds supporting stable readings rather than sharper declines, while showers later in the day are unlikely to affect the daily minimum. Upcoming official observations from sites like Heathrow will confirm the exact low, with any late-evening cooling potentially shifting probabilities toward 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,331Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office forecasts and real-time observations indicate mild overnight conditions in London, with temperatures holding around 15–17°C due to persistent southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling.**
These factors position 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 86%, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight drop despite historical August averages near 13°C. Model runs show dew points near 14°C and light winds supporting stable readings rather than sharper declines, while showers later in the day are unlikely to affect the daily minimum. Upcoming official observations from sites like Heathrow will confirm the exact low, with any late-evening cooling potentially shifting probabilities toward 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,331Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office forecasts and real-time observations indicate mild overnight conditions in London, with temperatures holding around 15–17°C due to persistent southwesterly flow, moderate cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect that limits radiative cooling.** These factors position 17°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 86%, reflecting trader consensus on limited overnight drop despite historical August averages near 13°C. Model runs show dew points near 14°C and light winds supporting stable readings rather than sharper declines, while showers later in the day are unlikely to affect the daily minimum. Upcoming official observations from sites like Heathrow will confirm the exact low, with any late-evening cooling potentially shifting probabilities toward 16°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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