Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on August 30?
15°C 100.0%
14°C 19%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$1,912 Wol.
$1,912 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
14°C 19%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$1,912 Wol.
$1,912 Wol.
Aug 30, 2026
11°C or below
$52 Wol.
No
12°C
$130 Wol.
No
13°C
$86 Wol.
No
14°C
$32 Wol.
No
15°C
$834 Wol.
Yes
16°C
$273 Wol.
No
17°C
$310 Wol.
No
18°C
$50 Wol.
No
19°C
$45 Wol.
No
20°C
$55 Wol.
No
21°C or higher
$45 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,912Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,912Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Strong model consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF forecasts has locked in a minimum temperature of 15°C for Helsinki on August 30, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and clear skies that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official station observations through the afternoon have remained above this threshold with minimal diurnal variation, aligning closely with climatological norms for late summer in southern Finland. The 100% market-implied probability captures traders' confidence in these verified inputs and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range surface temperature predictions. Only an unprecedented sensor malfunction or last-hour frontal passage could alter the recorded low, both of which remain highly improbable given real-time monitoring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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