Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
16°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 26%
17°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
27%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
18%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 27%
14°C 27%
15°C 26%
17°C 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$100 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$150 Wol.
2%
14°C
$0 Wol.
27%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$0 Wol.
18%
18°C
$0 Wol.
2%
19°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$270Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 15–16°C in Amsterdam on August 31, driven by persistent southwesterly flow ahead of a weakening frontal system and widespread thundershowers that limit radiative cooling while advecting modestly cooler maritime air. Cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing will determine whether the minimum settles at 14°C (under clearer breaks or heavier rain) or holds near 16°C (with sustained cloudiness and warmer advection). The near-even market shares among these outcomes reflect typical short-range model spread in boundary-layer temperature under unsettled late-summer conditions, with new model runs and observational updates expected to narrow the range before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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