The ongoing legal battle over President Trump’s attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook for alleged pre-appointment mortgage issues remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. The June 29 Supreme Court ruling preserved her role pending due-process compliance and further lower-court review, reinforcing statutory “for cause” protections and central-bank independence while leaving open renewed removal efforts. Recent August administration correspondence requiring her response by late month, followed by her denial of wrongdoing, underscores the contested nature of any near-term exit. With her term extending to 2038, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around litigation pace, potential additional procedural steps, and broader monetary-policy implications rather than an imminent resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$14,414 Wol.
Nov 30, 2026
September 30
1%
October 31
2%
November 30
7%
December 31
5%
$14,414 Wol.
September 30
$6,660 Wol.
1%
October 31
$5,143 Wol.
2%
November 30
$1,041 Wol.
7%
December 31
$1,570 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing legal battle over President Trump’s attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook for alleged pre-appointment mortgage issues remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. The June 29 Supreme Court ruling preserved her role pending due-process compliance and further lower-court review, reinforcing statutory “for cause” protections and central-bank independence while leaving open renewed removal efforts. Recent August administration correspondence requiring her response by late month, followed by her denial of wrongdoing, underscores the contested nature of any near-term exit. With her term extending to 2038, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around litigation pace, potential additional procedural steps, and broader monetary-policy implications rather than an imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,414Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing legal battle over President Trump’s attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook for alleged pre-appointment mortgage issues remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. The June 29 Supreme Court ruling preserved her role pending due-process compliance and further lower-court review, reinforcing statutory “for cause” protections and central-bank independence while leaving open renewed removal efforts. Recent August administration correspondence requiring her response by late month, followed by her denial of wrongdoing, underscores the contested nature of any near-term exit. With her term extending to 2038, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around litigation pace, potential additional procedural steps, and broader monetary-policy implications rather than an imminent resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$14,414Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The ongoing legal battle over President Trump’s attempt to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook for alleged pre-appointment mortgage issues remains the dominant driver of trader positioning on her departure timeline. The June 29 Supreme Court ruling preserved her role pending due-process compliance and further lower-court review, reinforcing statutory “for cause” protections and central-bank independence while leaving open renewed removal efforts. Recent August administration correspondence requiring her response by late month, followed by her denial of wrongdoing, underscores the contested nature of any near-term exit. With her term extending to 2038, market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around litigation pace, potential additional procedural steps, and broader monetary-policy implications rather than an imminent resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania