The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$14,414 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
1%
October 31
2%
November 30
6%
December 31
5%
$14,414 Wol.
September 30
$6,660 Wol.
1%
October 31
$5,143 Wol.
2%
November 30
$1,041 Wol.
6%
December 31
$1,570 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,414Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$14,414Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The primary driver of trader sentiment on Lisa Cook's departure as Federal Reserve governor remains the Supreme Court's June 29, 2026, 5-4 ruling, which blocked President Trump's 2025 removal attempt on procedural grounds and reinforced statutory "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act. The decision emphasized due process requirements, including notice and opportunity to respond, distinguishing the Fed from other agencies and preserving its independence amid ongoing lower-court litigation over mortgage fraud allegations that Cook denies. In early August 2026, the administration renewed efforts via formal notice, prompting Cook's legal team to rebut the claims, but her 14-year term extends to 2038 with no resolution imminent. Market-implied odds reflect these barriers, with any near-term exit hinging on further judicial outcomes or unforeseen political developments rather than executive action alone.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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