Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, anchors trader expectations for the August release near 53.0–54.9, where roughly 58% of market-implied probability resides. Steady services expansion, supported by resilient new orders and business activity indices, contrasts with employment contracting to 47.4 and persistent price pressures from petroleum costs. Manufacturing’s July jump to 55.6 signals potential spillover, contributing to the 16.8% odds on 58.0+, while softening labor market readings and upcoming August CPI and regional Fed surveys introduce downside risks that keep lower buckets active. Aggregated trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoISM Services PMI - August 2026
ISM Services PMI - August 2026
54.0–54.9 30%
53.0–53.9 29%
52.0–52.9 16%
55.0–55.9 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
1%
50.0–50.9
<1%
51.0–51.9
2%
52.0–52.9
16%
53.0–53.9
29%
54.0–54.9
30%
55.0–55.9
15%
56.0–56.9
9%
57.0–57.9
10%
58.0+
10%
54.0–54.9 30%
53.0–53.9 29%
52.0–52.9 16%
55.0–55.9 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
$145 Wol.
1%
50.0–50.9
$126 Wol.
<1%
51.0–51.9
$185 Wol.
2%
52.0–52.9
$3,125 Wol.
16%
53.0–53.9
$1,365 Wol.
29%
54.0–54.9
$3,001 Wol.
30%
55.0–55.9
$401 Wol.
15%
56.0–56.9
$174 Wol.
9%
57.0–57.9
$242 Wol.
10%
58.0+
$211 Wol.
10%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, anchors trader expectations for the August release near 53.0–54.9, where roughly 58% of market-implied probability resides. Steady services expansion, supported by resilient new orders and business activity indices, contrasts with employment contracting to 47.4 and persistent price pressures from petroleum costs. Manufacturing’s July jump to 55.6 signals potential spillover, contributing to the 16.8% odds on 58.0+, while softening labor market readings and upcoming August CPI and regional Fed surveys introduce downside risks that keep lower buckets active. Aggregated trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,975Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, anchors trader expectations for the August release near 53.0–54.9, where roughly 58% of market-implied probability resides. Steady services expansion, supported by resilient new orders and business activity indices, contrasts with employment contracting to 47.4 and persistent price pressures from petroleum costs. Manufacturing’s July jump to 55.6 signals potential spillover, contributing to the 16.8% odds on 58.0+, while softening labor market readings and upcoming August CPI and regional Fed surveys introduce downside risks that keep lower buckets active. Aggregated trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$8,975Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July ISM Services PMI data at 54.1, just below consensus, anchors trader expectations for the August release near 53.0–54.9, where roughly 58% of market-implied probability resides. Steady services expansion, supported by resilient new orders and business activity indices, contrasts with employment contracting to 47.4 and persistent price pressures from petroleum costs. Manufacturing’s July jump to 55.6 signals potential spillover, contributing to the 16.8% odds on 58.0+, while softening labor market readings and upcoming August CPI and regional Fed surveys introduce downside risks that keep lower buckets active. Aggregated trader positioning reflects this narrow range of outcomes consistent with the 12-month average near 53.4.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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