Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJuly Inflation US - Annual
July Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 46%
3.3% 27%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 6.5%
$44,949 Wol.
$44,949 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤3.1%
2%
3.2%
6%
3.3%
27%
3.4%
46%
3.5%
22%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
1%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
1%
≥4.2%
1%
3.4% 46%
3.3% 27%
3.5% 22%
3.2% 6.5%
$44,949 Wol.
$44,949 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
≤3.1%
$2,142 Wol.
2%
3.2%
$2,839 Wol.
6%
3.3%
$13,401 Wol.
27%
3.4%
$11,072 Wol.
46%
3.5%
$6,466 Wol.
22%
3.6%
$1,968 Wol.
2%
3.7%
$1,271 Wol.
1%
3.8%
$1,196 Wol.
1%
3.9%
$1,094 Wol.
<1%
4.0%
$1,225 Wol.
1%
4.1%
$1,041 Wol.
1%
≥4.2%
$1,234 Wol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$44,949Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending July 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$44,949Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 14, 2026, 1:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation decelerating sharply to 3.5% year-over-year from 4.2% in May, reflecting cooling energy prices and base effects that have anchored near-term expectations. This release has tightened trader consensus around a July reading near 3.5–3.6%, as reflected in the closely matched market-implied odds across those bins. Persistent services inflation and potential commodity volatility remain swing factors that could push outcomes higher or lower ahead of the mid-August BLS release. With probabilities clustered tightly around the latest print, the market prices in moderate uncertainty typical of monthly inflation prints, where small deviations in food, energy, or shelter components can shift the final figure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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