Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core at 3.3% amid energy price pressures, combined with the July FOMC’s 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, underpin the tight market-implied odds between three and four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Traders view the committee as divided on the appropriate policy response under Chair Warsh, with data dependence creating swing potential around upcoming releases on inflation and labor market conditions. Historical precedent of infrequent multi-dissent outcomes and the absence of forward guidance heighten uncertainty over whether additional members will join the hawkish bloc or align with a hold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
4+ 30%
3 30%
2 16%
1 15%
$17,893 Wol.
$17,893 Wol.
0
10%
1
15%
2
16%
3
30%
4+
30%
4+ 30%
3 30%
2 16%
1 15%
$17,893 Wol.
$17,893 Wol.
0
10%
1
15%
2
16%
3
30%
4+
30%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Elevated inflation readings, with headline PCE near 3.7% and core at 3.3% amid energy price pressures, combined with the July FOMC’s 9-3 vote featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, underpin the tight market-implied odds between three and four-plus dissents at the September 15-16 meeting. Traders view the committee as divided on the appropriate policy response under Chair Warsh, with data dependence creating swing potential around upcoming releases on inflation and labor market conditions. Historical precedent of infrequent multi-dissent outcomes and the absence of forward guidance heighten uncertainty over whether additional members will join the hawkish bloc or align with a hold.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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