Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai highs near 29–30°C on August 15 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating onshore flow typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. These conditions align with climatological cooling from peak July values, where daily maxima average 31–32°C but frequently drop 1–3°C under rain-cooled air masses. Elevated humidity and potential precipitation reduce surface heating, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 29°C outcome while leaving room for 30°C if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any convective activity and final maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 13%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
47%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 13%
31°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$185 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$33 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$456 Wol.
3%
28°C
$643 Wol.
13%
29°C
$1,532 Wol.
47%
30°C
$783 Wol.
26%
31°C
$707 Wol.
12%
32°C
$149 Wol.
4%
33°C
$82 Wol.
1%
34°C
$314 Wol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$49 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai highs near 29–30°C on August 15 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating onshore flow typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. These conditions align with climatological cooling from peak July values, where daily maxima average 31–32°C but frequently drop 1–3°C under rain-cooled air masses. Elevated humidity and potential precipitation reduce surface heating, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 29°C outcome while leaving room for 30°C if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any convective activity and final maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,933Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai highs near 29–30°C on August 15 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating onshore flow typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. These conditions align with climatological cooling from peak July values, where daily maxima average 31–32°C but frequently drop 1–3°C under rain-cooled air masses. Elevated humidity and potential precipitation reduce surface heating, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 29°C outcome while leaving room for 30°C if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any convective activity and final maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,933Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Shanghai highs near 29–30°C on August 15 amid increasing cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderating onshore flow typical of late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns. These conditions align with climatological cooling from peak July values, where daily maxima average 31–32°C but frequently drop 1–3°C under rain-cooled air masses. Elevated humidity and potential precipitation reduce surface heating, supporting the market’s emphasis on the 29°C outcome while leaving room for 30°C if clearer skies develop. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine timing of any convective activity and final maximum readings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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