Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows a cooldown over the August 15 weekend following midweek heat, with overnight lows projected near 19–20°C under increasing cloud cover and possible showers that limit daytime heat retention. This aligns with typical August climatology, where Paris minima average 15–18°C, supporting the 91% market-implied odds for 22°C or below. Urban heat-island effects could modestly elevate readings, yet substantial warming above the threshold would require an unexpected return of clear, hot conditions before resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official vigilance updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 15?
22°C or below 92%
23°C 9%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
92%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
22°C or below 92%
23°C 9%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Wol.
92%
23°C
$6 Wol.
9%
24°C
$147 Wol.
3%
25°C
$15 Wol.
4%
26°C
$5 Wol.
3%
27°C
$5 Wol.
3%
28°C
$5 Wol.
3%
29°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$115 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$0 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows a cooldown over the August 15 weekend following midweek heat, with overnight lows projected near 19–20°C under increasing cloud cover and possible showers that limit daytime heat retention. This aligns with typical August climatology, where Paris minima average 15–18°C, supporting the 91% market-implied odds for 22°C or below. Urban heat-island effects could modestly elevate readings, yet substantial warming above the threshold would require an unexpected return of clear, hot conditions before resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official vigilance updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$318Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows a cooldown over the August 15 weekend following midweek heat, with overnight lows projected near 19–20°C under increasing cloud cover and possible showers that limit daytime heat retention. This aligns with typical August climatology, where Paris minima average 15–18°C, supporting the 91% market-implied odds for 22°C or below. Urban heat-island effects could modestly elevate readings, yet substantial warming above the threshold would require an unexpected return of clear, hot conditions before resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official vigilance updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$318Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Météo-France and ensemble models shows a cooldown over the August 15 weekend following midweek heat, with overnight lows projected near 19–20°C under increasing cloud cover and possible showers that limit daytime heat retention. This aligns with typical August climatology, where Paris minima average 15–18°C, supporting the 91% market-implied odds for 22°C or below. Urban heat-island effects could modestly elevate readings, yet substantial warming above the threshold would require an unexpected return of clear, hot conditions before resolution. Updated short-range model runs and official vigilance updates over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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