Recent KMA forecasts for August 15 indicate a maximum near 32°C in Incheon under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% precipitation chances and moderate humidity, driving the market's tight clustering around 29–31°C. Following an earlier August heatwave that produced peaks near 39°C, current conditions reflect stabilizing high pressure with potential afternoon convection that could cap temperatures slightly below model guidance. Short-range ensemble variability and steering influences introduce modest uncertainty, while historical August baselines near 30–31°C provide context. Updated KMA model runs and real-time observations on the 14th–15th will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.