Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus center Seattle’s August 18 high in the upper 70s, producing the market’s tight split between 76-77°F (32.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%). A warmer-than-average summer pattern has kept mid-August climatology near 77–79°F, with typical afternoon sea-breeze and marine-layer influences that cap daytime maxima. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, subsidence strength under high pressure, and the exact onset of onshore flow create the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 74°F reflect limited model support for stronger warming or cooling anomalies on this date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on August 18?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 18?
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
34%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 34%
78-79°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
80-81°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
71°F or below
$302 Wol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,132 Wol.
5%
74-75°F
$1,586 Wol.
18%
76-77°F
$864 Wol.
34%
78-79°F
$819 Wol.
28%
80-81°F
$692 Wol.
13%
82-83°F
$631 Wol.
6%
84-85°F
$261 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$391 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$290 Wol.
<1%
90°F or higher
$120 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus center Seattle’s August 18 high in the upper 70s, producing the market’s tight split between 76-77°F (32.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%). A warmer-than-average summer pattern has kept mid-August climatology near 77–79°F, with typical afternoon sea-breeze and marine-layer influences that cap daytime maxima. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, subsidence strength under high pressure, and the exact onset of onshore flow create the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 74°F reflect limited model support for stronger warming or cooling anomalies on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,896Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus center Seattle’s August 18 high in the upper 70s, producing the market’s tight split between 76-77°F (32.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%). A warmer-than-average summer pattern has kept mid-August climatology near 77–79°F, with typical afternoon sea-breeze and marine-layer influences that cap daytime maxima. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, subsidence strength under high pressure, and the exact onset of onshore flow create the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 74°F reflect limited model support for stronger warming or cooling anomalies on this date.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,896Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus center Seattle’s August 18 high in the upper 70s, producing the market’s tight split between 76-77°F (32.5%) and 78-79°F (28.0%). A warmer-than-average summer pattern has kept mid-August climatology near 77–79°F, with typical afternoon sea-breeze and marine-layer influences that cap daytime maxima. Minor forecast differences in cloud timing, subsidence strength under high pressure, and the exact onset of onshore flow create the observed uncertainty across adjacent bins, while lower-probability outcomes above 80°F or below 74°F reflect limited model support for stronger warming or cooling anomalies on this date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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