Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a high of 29–31°C for Istanbul on September 6 under sunny skies, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with negligible precipitation risk. This consensus, driven by clear atmospheric patterns and seasonal late-summer warmth without significant cooling advection, positions 29°C and 30°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 35.5% and 24.5% respectively. Trader sentiment reflects these model runs and historical September baselines near 27–28°C, with limited upside potential from 31°C or higher due to the absence of heat-trapping factors or model divergence in the latest updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 20%
27°C 7%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
30°C 25%
28°C 20%
27°C 7%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
20%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
7%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models project a high of 29–31°C for Istanbul on September 6 under sunny skies, light variable winds, and stable high-pressure conditions with negligible precipitation risk. This consensus, driven by clear atmospheric patterns and seasonal late-summer warmth without significant cooling advection, positions 29°C and 30°C as the leading market-implied outcomes at 35.5% and 24.5% respectively. Trader sentiment reflects these model runs and historical September baselines near 27–28°C, with limited upside potential from 31°C or higher due to the absence of heat-trapping factors or model divergence in the latest updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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