Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Lucknow on September 5, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers expected. This aligns with observed values the prior day (32.3°C) and aligns with monsoon-season patterns that limit daytime heating through high humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. Multiple models converge on highs of 31–32°C, supporting the strong market-implied probability for 32°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly clearer conditions or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation and a push toward 33°C or higher, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely. Updated IMD observations or model runs later today could refine the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C or higher 1.0%
24°C or below <1%
$44,085 Wol.
$44,085 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
95%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
1%
32°C 95%
33°C 6%
34°C or higher 1.0%
24°C or below <1%
$44,085 Wol.
$44,085 Wol.
Sep 5, 2026
24°C or below
$434 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$171 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$391 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$307 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$332 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$1,850 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$35,635 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,011 Wol.
95%
33°C
$1,199 Wol.
6%
34°C or higher
$343 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Lucknow on September 5, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers expected. This aligns with observed values the prior day (32.3°C) and aligns with monsoon-season patterns that limit daytime heating through high humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. Multiple models converge on highs of 31–32°C, supporting the strong market-implied probability for 32°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly clearer conditions or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation and a push toward 33°C or higher, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely. Updated IMD observations or model runs later today could refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$44,085Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Lucknow on September 5, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers expected. This aligns with observed values the prior day (32.3°C) and aligns with monsoon-season patterns that limit daytime heating through high humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. Multiple models converge on highs of 31–32°C, supporting the strong market-implied probability for 32°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly clearer conditions or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation and a push toward 33°C or higher, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely. Updated IMD observations or model runs later today could refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$44,085Data zakończenia
Sep 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C for Lucknow on September 5, 2026, under generally cloudy skies with spells of rain or thundershowers expected. This aligns with observed values the prior day (32.3°C) and aligns with monsoon-season patterns that limit daytime heating through high humidity, cloud cover, and precipitation. Multiple models converge on highs of 31–32°C, supporting the strong market-implied probability for 32°C. A realistic challenge would require unexpectedly clearer conditions or reduced rainfall allowing greater insolation and a push toward 33°C or higher, though current atmospheric moisture and steering patterns make this unlikely. Updated IMD observations or model runs later today could refine the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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