Recent meteorological forecasts for Lucknow indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on September 5 amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity (70–90%), and scattered thunderstorms limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Official model consensus from agencies like the India Meteorological Department points to minimum temperatures in this range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C. The market's strong weighting toward 26°C reflects these stable, humid conditions, while the notable 40% implied probability on 21°C or below appears driven by uncertainty over potential heavier rainfall or localized cooling from storm activity, though current observations and short-range guidance show little support for such sharp drops. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 5?
21°C or below 80%
23°C 5%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
80%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
56%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 80%
23°C 5%
25°C 4%
24°C 3%
21°C or below
80%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
56%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Lucknow indicate overnight lows near 24–26°C on September 5 amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity (70–90%), and scattered thunderstorms limiting nighttime radiative cooling. Official model consensus from agencies like the India Meteorological Department points to minimum temperatures in this range, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 24–26°C. The market's strong weighting toward 26°C reflects these stable, humid conditions, while the notable 40% implied probability on 21°C or below appears driven by uncertainty over potential heavier rainfall or localized cooling from storm activity, though current observations and short-range guidance show little support for such sharp drops. Updated model runs and real-time station data will refine resolution as the day concludes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania