Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C on September 5, driven by mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, light northeasterly winds, and limited afternoon heating. Early-day observations near 24–27°C, combined with scattered showers or high humidity (around 50–60%), are capping peak values below historical September averages of 32–34°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range, as updated model guidance through the morning has stabilized expectations around 31°C while assigning lower probability to outliers above 33°C or below 29°C. Official data releases later today will confirm the exact daily high for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 5?
31°C 44%
30°C 40%
32°C 10%
29°C 6.3%
$21,907 Wol.
$21,907 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
40%
31°C
44%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 40%
32°C 10%
29°C 6.3%
$21,907 Wol.
$21,907 Wol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
6%
30°C
40%
31°C
44%
32°C
10%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Wuhan Meteorological Observatory and international models (including ECMWF and GFS runs) indicate a maximum temperature of 30–32°C on September 5, driven by mostly cloudy skies transitioning to partly sunny conditions, light northeasterly winds, and limited afternoon heating. Early-day observations near 24–27°C, combined with scattered showers or high humidity (around 50–60%), are capping peak values below historical September averages of 32–34°C. Trader consensus aligns with this narrow range, as updated model guidance through the morning has stabilized expectations around 31°C while assigning lower probability to outliers above 33°C or below 29°C. Official data releases later today will confirm the exact daily high for market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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