Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 7?
34°C 27%
35°C 25%
36°C 22%
33°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
27%
35°C
25%
36°C
23%
37°C
5%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
34°C 27%
35°C 25%
36°C 22%
33°C 12%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 7, 2026
29°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
30°C
$0 Wol.
3%
31°C
$0 Wol.
4%
32°C
$5 Wol.
8%
33°C
$22 Wol.
12%
34°C
$0 Wol.
27%
35°C
$38 Wol.
25%
36°C
$54 Wol.
23%
37°C
$20 Wol.
5%
38°C
$0 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$138Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$138Data zakończenia
Sep 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates a peak daytime temperature in Guangzhou on September 7 likely reaching 34–36°C, driven by partly cloudy conditions with limited afternoon cloud cover and light northeast winds that permit strong solar heating before any scattered thunderstorms develop. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, reflecting uncertainty in exact maximum readings tied to the timing of precipitation and humidity levels near 60–70%. Historical averages for the date hover near 32.6°C with a record of 35.2°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful probability to values above the norm while discounting extremes below 33°C or above 37°C absent major shifts in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs from agencies monitoring the region will refine these estimates ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania