Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over the region are driving Istanbul's September 5 maximum toward the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range, with official forecasts from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles converging on 27–29°C under northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 20°C, consistent with seasonal norms for early September rather than anomalous heat. Model consensus and lack of southerly flow or subsidence warming keep probabilities concentrated at 27°C, while slight upside risk to 28°C or higher remains limited by the modest thermal setup and rapid evening cooling. Updated midday data releases and final 24-hour maxima will refine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 5?
27°C 80%
28°C 13%
26°C 8%
29°C 1.0%
$11,427 Wol.
$11,427 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
80%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 80%
28°C 13%
26°C 8%
29°C 1.0%
$11,427 Wol.
$11,427 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
80%
28°C
13%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and a stable high-pressure system over the region are driving Istanbul's September 5 maximum toward the low-to-mid 20s Celsius range, with official forecasts from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF ensembles converging on 27–29°C under northeast winds of 10–20 km/h. Afternoon observations show temperatures climbing steadily from morning lows near 20°C, consistent with seasonal norms for early September rather than anomalous heat. Model consensus and lack of southerly flow or subsidence warming keep probabilities concentrated at 27°C, while slight upside risk to 28°C or higher remains limited by the modest thermal setup and rapid evening cooling. Updated midday data releases and final 24-hour maxima will refine resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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