Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 95°F for Houston on September 8, driven by persistent high pressure, light southeasterly flow off the warm Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. With average highs around 91°F this time of year and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s amid humid conditions, traders favor the 92–95°F bins as the most likely outcome under typical late-summer subsidence and sea-breeze patterns. Afternoon convection or slight increases in cloud cover could cap the peak a degree or two lower, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push it toward 96°F or above, creating the close spread between leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on September 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 8?
94-95°F 39%
92-93°F 32%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
83°F or below
4%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
30%
92-93°F
32%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
7%
100-101°F
7%
102°F or higher
7%
94-95°F 39%
92-93°F 32%
90-91°F 30%
88-89°F 18%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
83°F or below
$0 Wol.
4%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
7%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
18%
90-91°F
$0 Wol.
30%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
32%
94-95°F
$5 Wol.
36%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
16%
98-99°F
$0 Wol.
7%
100-101°F
$0 Wol.
7%
102°F or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 95°F for Houston on September 8, driven by persistent high pressure, light southeasterly flow off the warm Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. With average highs around 91°F this time of year and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s amid humid conditions, traders favor the 92–95°F bins as the most likely outcome under typical late-summer subsidence and sea-breeze patterns. Afternoon convection or slight increases in cloud cover could cap the peak a degree or two lower, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push it toward 96°F or above, creating the close spread between leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 95°F for Houston on September 8, driven by persistent high pressure, light southeasterly flow off the warm Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. With average highs around 91°F this time of year and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s amid humid conditions, traders favor the 92–95°F bins as the most likely outcome under typical late-summer subsidence and sea-breeze patterns. Afternoon convection or slight increases in cloud cover could cap the peak a degree or two lower, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push it toward 96°F or above, creating the close spread between leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a high near 95°F for Houston on September 8, driven by persistent high pressure, light southeasterly flow off the warm Gulf of Mexico, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime heating. With average highs around 91°F this time of year and recent days reaching the low-to-mid 90s amid humid conditions, traders favor the 92–95°F bins as the most likely outcome under typical late-summer subsidence and sea-breeze patterns. Afternoon convection or slight increases in cloud cover could cap the peak a degree or two lower, while clearer skies and stronger insolation would push it toward 96°F or above, creating the close spread between leading probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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