Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 6?
35°C 46%
34°C 29%
36°C 15%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
11%
34°C
29%
35°C
46%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
34°C 29%
36°C 15%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
27°C or below
$325 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$335 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$460 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$797 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$523 Wol.
2%
32°C
$270 Wol.
5%
33°C
$401 Wol.
11%
34°C
$1,427 Wol.
29%
35°C
$2,590 Wol.
46%
36°C
$1,095 Wol.
15%
37°C or higher
$879 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,100Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,100Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent atmospheric conditions driven by persistent subtropical high pressure have sustained clear to partly cloudy skies over the Sichuan Basin, enabling strong solar insolation and daytime heating consistent with recent highs of 33–35°C. Official and ensemble forecasts for September 6 center on 32–35°C maxima, with limited cloud cover and light winds limiting cooling; this aligns with the market-implied 45.5% probability on 35°C and 28.5% on 34°C as the dominant outcomes. A shift toward increased moisture and a weak cold-air intrusion is projected after September 8, but remains outside the resolution window. Historical early-September climatology in Chengdu shows frequent “autumn tiger” episodes with similar peaks before the onset of Huaxi autumn rains.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania