Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C for September 6, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach about 30°C amid typical monsoon-influenced humidity. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome at 40.5% reflects the slight upward bias in several deterministic runs and recent observations near 30°C, while the 22% on 32°C accounts for residual model spread if cloud cover decreases. Official monitoring updates and final 24-hour readings will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 6?
31°C 41%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
41%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 41%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 9%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
9%
30°C
26%
31°C
41%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles such as ECMWF and GFS currently indicate a maximum temperature of 30–31°C for September 6, driven by partly cloudy skies, light northeasterly winds, and scattered afternoon showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with early-September climatology, where average highs reach about 30°C amid typical monsoon-influenced humidity. Trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome at 40.5% reflects the slight upward bias in several deterministic runs and recent observations near 30°C, while the 22% on 32°C accounts for residual model spread if cloud cover decreases. Official monitoring updates and final 24-hour readings will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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