Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon rains are the main factors capping daytime heating in Manila on September 8, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the 28–30°C range according to current model consensus. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with September’s wet-season climatology where average highs near 31°C are often suppressed by habagat moisture and convective activity. Recent monitoring shows a tropical system east of northern Luzon enhancing regional cloudiness and showers, further reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 31°C or higher. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C because forecast timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts introduces genuine uncertainty in the exact daily peak, with official updates from PAGASA and refined model runs expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 8?
29°C 33%
30°C 25%
28°C 17%
31°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
17%
29°C
33%
30°C
25%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
29°C 33%
30°C 25%
28°C 17%
31°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 8, 2026
23°C or below
$240 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$196 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$148 Wol.
2%
26°C
$42 Wol.
3%
27°C
$18 Wol.
7%
28°C
$14 Wol.
17%
29°C
$77 Wol.
33%
30°C
$400 Wol.
25%
31°C
$225 Wol.
10%
32°C
$65 Wol.
4%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon rains are the main factors capping daytime heating in Manila on September 8, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the 28–30°C range according to current model consensus. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with September’s wet-season climatology where average highs near 31°C are often suppressed by habagat moisture and convective activity. Recent monitoring shows a tropical system east of northern Luzon enhancing regional cloudiness and showers, further reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 31°C or higher. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C because forecast timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts introduces genuine uncertainty in the exact daily peak, with official updates from PAGASA and refined model runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,425Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon rains are the main factors capping daytime heating in Manila on September 8, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the 28–30°C range according to current model consensus. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with September’s wet-season climatology where average highs near 31°C are often suppressed by habagat moisture and convective activity. Recent monitoring shows a tropical system east of northern Luzon enhancing regional cloudiness and showers, further reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 31°C or higher. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C because forecast timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts introduces genuine uncertainty in the exact daily peak, with official updates from PAGASA and refined model runs expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,425Data zakończenia
Sep 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 6, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, frequent thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon rains are the main factors capping daytime heating in Manila on September 8, keeping the highest temperature most likely in the 28–30°C range according to current model consensus. These conditions limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, consistent with September’s wet-season climatology where average highs near 31°C are often suppressed by habagat moisture and convective activity. Recent monitoring shows a tropical system east of northern Luzon enhancing regional cloudiness and showers, further reducing the chance of brief clear spells that could push readings to 31°C or higher. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29°C and 30°C because forecast timing of heaviest rain and wind shifts introduces genuine uncertainty in the exact daily peak, with official updates from PAGASA and refined model runs expected before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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