Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high near 93–95°F for Austin on September 6, driven by a warm, moist airmass with southerly flow and limited cloud cover through midday. Afternoon thunderstorm chances, currently 20–25% in guidance, could cap peak readings in the lower to mid-90s via evaporative cooling and increased cloudiness. This aligns with the climatological average high of 93.4°F and recent runs showing minimal deviation, positioning 94–95°F as the modal outcome while keeping 92–93°F and 96–97°F viable depending on storm timing and intensity. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on September 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on September 6?
94-95°F 41%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 23%
98-99°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
26%
94-95°F
41%
96-97°F
23%
98-99°F
5%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 41%
92-93°F 26%
96-97°F 23%
98-99°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
85°F or below
$465 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$260 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$0 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$192 Wol.
5%
92-93°F
$244 Wol.
26%
94-95°F
$235 Wol.
41%
96-97°F
$1,855 Wol.
23%
98-99°F
$272 Wol.
5%
100-101°F
$115 Wol.
1%
102-103°F
$7 Wol.
1%
104°F or higher
$341 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high near 93–95°F for Austin on September 6, driven by a warm, moist airmass with southerly flow and limited cloud cover through midday. Afternoon thunderstorm chances, currently 20–25% in guidance, could cap peak readings in the lower to mid-90s via evaporative cooling and increased cloudiness. This aligns with the climatological average high of 93.4°F and recent runs showing minimal deviation, positioning 94–95°F as the modal outcome while keeping 92–93°F and 96–97°F viable depending on storm timing and intensity. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,985Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high near 93–95°F for Austin on September 6, driven by a warm, moist airmass with southerly flow and limited cloud cover through midday. Afternoon thunderstorm chances, currently 20–25% in guidance, could cap peak readings in the lower to mid-90s via evaporative cooling and increased cloudiness. This aligns with the climatological average high of 93.4°F and recent runs showing minimal deviation, positioning 94–95°F as the modal outcome while keeping 92–93°F and 96–97°F viable depending on storm timing and intensity. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,985Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private ensembles indicate a high near 93–95°F for Austin on September 6, driven by a warm, moist airmass with southerly flow and limited cloud cover through midday. Afternoon thunderstorm chances, currently 20–25% in guidance, could cap peak readings in the lower to mid-90s via evaporative cooling and increased cloudiness. This aligns with the climatological average high of 93.4°F and recent runs showing minimal deviation, positioning 94–95°F as the modal outcome while keeping 92–93°F and 96–97°F viable depending on storm timing and intensity. No major model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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