Recent forecasts from authoritative Chinese meteorological sources project a September 6 high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen, with mid-rain transitioning to cloudy skies and showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C (42%) and 30°C (24%), as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer subtropical patterns. Model consensus shows modest variability around this range, with limited upside risk for 32°C or higher absent rapid clearing. Resolution depends on official daily maximum observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 6?
31°C 45%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
23%
31°C
45%
32°C
19%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 45%
30°C 23%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
24°C or below
$160 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$125 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$155 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$148 Wol.
2%
28°C
$716 Wol.
5%
29°C
$2,687 Wol.
9%
30°C
$2,546 Wol.
23%
31°C
$1,289 Wol.
45%
32°C
$541 Wol.
19%
33°C
$836 Wol.
5%
34°C or higher
$688 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from authoritative Chinese meteorological sources project a September 6 high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen, with mid-rain transitioning to cloudy skies and showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C (42%) and 30°C (24%), as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer subtropical patterns. Model consensus shows modest variability around this range, with limited upside risk for 32°C or higher absent rapid clearing. Resolution depends on official daily maximum observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,871Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from authoritative Chinese meteorological sources project a September 6 high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen, with mid-rain transitioning to cloudy skies and showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C (42%) and 30°C (24%), as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer subtropical patterns. Model consensus shows modest variability around this range, with limited upside risk for 32°C or higher absent rapid clearing. Resolution depends on official daily maximum observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,871Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from authoritative Chinese meteorological sources project a September 6 high of 30–31°C in Shenzhen, with mid-rain transitioning to cloudy skies and showers limiting daytime heating. These conditions align with the market’s leading implied probabilities for 31°C (42%) and 30°C (24%), as persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation compared to clearer subtropical patterns. Model consensus shows modest variability around this range, with limited upside risk for 32°C or higher absent rapid clearing. Resolution depends on official daily maximum observations from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, with final data releases expected shortly after the period closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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