Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts establish a 26–31°C range for September 2 amid northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort and only a medium-low chance of scattered showers, creating tight market-implied probabilities clustered around 29–31°C. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on diurnal cloud evolution and insolation: clearer afternoon skies would favor the upper end near 31°C through enhanced surface heating, while lingering convective clouds or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 29°C via reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing under the weakening regional trough, with the next HKO updates and real-time observations expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
28%
31°C
18%
32°C
6%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 28%
31°C 18%
28°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
24°C or below
$415 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$414 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$233 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$482 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$512 Wol.
16%
29°C
$200 Wol.
32%
30°C
$116 Wol.
28%
31°C
$141 Wol.
18%
32°C
$380 Wol.
6%
33°C
$157 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$204 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts establish a 26–31°C range for September 2 amid northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort and only a medium-low chance of scattered showers, creating tight market-implied probabilities clustered around 29–31°C. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on diurnal cloud evolution and insolation: clearer afternoon skies would favor the upper end near 31°C through enhanced surface heating, while lingering convective clouds or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 29°C via reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing under the weakening regional trough, with the next HKO updates and real-time observations expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,256Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts establish a 26–31°C range for September 2 amid northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort and only a medium-low chance of scattered showers, creating tight market-implied probabilities clustered around 29–31°C. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on diurnal cloud evolution and insolation: clearer afternoon skies would favor the upper end near 31°C through enhanced surface heating, while lingering convective clouds or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 29°C via reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing under the weakening regional trough, with the next HKO updates and real-time observations expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$3,256Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory forecasts establish a 26–31°C range for September 2 amid northwest winds of 4–5 Beaufort and only a medium-low chance of scattered showers, creating tight market-implied probabilities clustered around 29–31°C. Differentiating these outcomes hinges on diurnal cloud evolution and insolation: clearer afternoon skies would favor the upper end near 31°C through enhanced surface heating, while lingering convective clouds or earlier showers would cap readings closer to 29°C via reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing under the weakening regional trough, with the next HKO updates and real-time observations expected to refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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