Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Austin highs near 100–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to near-triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 100–101°F. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs around 99°F during the seasonal peak and historical ranges rarely exceeding 102°F without stronger atmospheric support. Updated afternoon model runs and official observations will refine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 12?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 12?
100-101°F 65%
102-103°F 17%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 2.0%
NOWE
$14,532 Wol.
NOWE
$14,532 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
65%
102-103°F
17%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 65%
102-103°F 17%
98-99°F 16%
104-105°F 2.0%
NOWE
$14,532 Wol.
NOWE
$14,532 Wol.
Aug 12, 2026
91°F or below
$610 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,739 Wol.
<1%
94-95°F
$2,718 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$748 Wol.
2%
98-99°F
$1,290 Wol.
16%
100-101°F
$2,857 Wol.
65%
102-103°F
$1,271 Wol.
17%
104-105°F
$1,005 Wol.
2%
106-107°F
$389 Wol.
<1%
108-109°F
$504 Wol.
<1%
110°F or higher
$559 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Austin highs near 100–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to near-triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 100–101°F. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs around 99°F during the seasonal peak and historical ranges rarely exceeding 102°F without stronger atmospheric support. Updated afternoon model runs and official observations will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$14,532Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Austin highs near 100–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to near-triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 100–101°F. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs around 99°F during the seasonal peak and historical ranges rarely exceeding 102°F without stronger atmospheric support. Updated afternoon model runs and official observations will refine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,532Data zakończenia
Aug 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate Austin highs near 100–101°F on August 12, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting mostly sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum daytime heating. Recent observations show a return to near-triple-digit conditions amid typical late-summer humidity and soil moisture levels that limit evaporative cooling, aligning with the market’s 63.5% implied probability for 100–101°F. August climatology supports this positioning, with average highs around 99°F during the seasonal peak and historical ranges rarely exceeding 102°F without stronger atmospheric support. Updated afternoon model runs and official observations will refine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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