Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly sunny conditions over central Anatolia, supporting daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C for Ankara. Differentiation among 29–33°C outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and potential for scattered high cloud reducing insolation by 10–20%. Urban heat-island effects at the measurement station and minor model disagreements on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage two days out introduce the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities, with new 12–48 hour runs from global ensembles expected to tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 20?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 20?
31°C 48%
32°C 37%
30°C 17%
33°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
17%
31°C
48%
32°C
37%
33°C
10%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 48%
32°C 37%
30°C 17%
33°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Wol.
1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
1%
29°C
$1 Wol.
6%
30°C
$0 Wol.
17%
31°C
$1 Wol.
48%
32°C
$0 Wol.
37%
33°C
$42 Wol.
10%
34°C
$8 Wol.
4%
35°C or higher
$5 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly sunny conditions over central Anatolia, supporting daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C for Ankara. Differentiation among 29–33°C outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and potential for scattered high cloud reducing insolation by 10–20%. Urban heat-island effects at the measurement station and minor model disagreements on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage two days out introduce the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities, with new 12–48 hour runs from global ensembles expected to tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$77Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly sunny conditions over central Anatolia, supporting daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C for Ankara. Differentiation among 29–33°C outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and potential for scattered high cloud reducing insolation by 10–20%. Urban heat-island effects at the measurement station and minor model disagreements on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage two days out introduce the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities, with new 12–48 hour runs from global ensembles expected to tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$77Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a high-pressure ridge maintaining mostly sunny conditions over central Anatolia, supporting daytime maxima near the long-term August average of 32°C for Ankara. Differentiation among 29–33°C outcomes hinges on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface wind speeds from the northeast, and potential for scattered high cloud reducing insolation by 10–20%. Urban heat-island effects at the measurement station and minor model disagreements on the precise timing of any weak frontal passage two days out introduce the observed spread in trader-implied probabilities, with new 12–48 hour runs from global ensembles expected to tighten consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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