Forecast consensus from models and agencies points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds, consistent with typical late-summer highs for the city’s 900-meter inland plateau. Ankara’s elevation and distance from moderating seas limit extreme peaks compared with coastal sites, while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling. Minor differences between 31°C and 32°C hinge on precise maximum timing, local wind gusts, and humidity levels that affect the diurnal temperature curve. Short-range model spreads remain narrow this close to the event, producing tightly matched market-implied probabilities that reflect uncertainty in official station readings rather than large-scale shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 19?
31°C 48%
32°C 41%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
48%
32°C
41%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 48%
32°C 41%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
48%
32°C
41%
33°C
6%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models and agencies points to a maximum of 31–32°C in Ankara on August 19 under sunny conditions and light northwesterly winds, consistent with typical late-summer highs for the city’s 900-meter inland plateau. Ankara’s elevation and distance from moderating seas limit extreme peaks compared with coastal sites, while stable high pressure suppresses cloud cover and convective cooling. Minor differences between 31°C and 32°C hinge on precise maximum timing, local wind gusts, and humidity levels that affect the diurnal temperature curve. Short-range model spreads remain narrow this close to the event, producing tightly matched market-implied probabilities that reflect uncertainty in official station readings rather than large-scale shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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