Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton’s renomination in the July 2026 primary and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin the 93% trader consensus for his party in Arizona’s 4th congressional district. The seat, covering parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and voting patterns. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser’s primary victory produced limited competitive signals, keeping implied Republican odds low. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate events could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current structural factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$32,232 Wol.
$32,232 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$32,232 Wol.
$32,232 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$25,393 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$6,839 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton’s renomination in the July 2026 primary and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin the 93% trader consensus for his party in Arizona’s 4th congressional district. The seat, covering parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and voting patterns. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser’s primary victory produced limited competitive signals, keeping implied Republican odds low. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate events could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$32,232Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton’s renomination in the July 2026 primary and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin the 93% trader consensus for his party in Arizona’s 4th congressional district. The seat, covering parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and voting patterns. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser’s primary victory produced limited competitive signals, keeping implied Republican odds low. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate events could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,232Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Stanton’s renomination in the July 2026 primary and the district’s consistent Democratic lean underpin the 93% trader consensus for his party in Arizona’s 4th congressional district. The seat, covering parts of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, has favored Democrats in recent cycles, and forecasters rate it Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and voting patterns. Republican nominee Zuhdi Jasser’s primary victory produced limited competitive signals, keeping implied Republican odds low. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges among key voting blocs, or unforeseen candidate events could still narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability given current structural factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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