Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
$11,673 Wol.
$11,673 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$11,673 Wol.
$11,673 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,673Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Wolumen
$11,673Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations of the US sovereign rating at AA+ or equivalent by Fitch and S&P, combined with Moody’s assignment of a stable outlook after its May 2025 move to Aa1, have anchored trader expectations against another downgrade before 2027. Persistent but predictable fiscal deficits and debt-service costs have not triggered fresh negative signals from the agencies, while legislative continuity on appropriations and the absence of acute debt-ceiling standoffs have limited downside surprises. Economic resilience, reflected in steady growth and contained inflation pressures into mid-2026, further supports the current implied probability that rating committees will maintain existing assessments through the end of 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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