Mary Peltola leads trader sentiment in the 2026 Alaska Senate race following her strong performance in the August nonpartisan primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The contest, rated a tossup by multiple forecasters, features ranked-choice voting that could consolidate support for the Democrat among independents and moderate voters in this swing state. Peltola's fundraising advantage and prior upset victory in the state's at-large House seat have boosted her implied probability, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state's Republican lean. Minor candidates, including two additional Republicans, remain negligible factors in the general election on November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlaska Senate Election Winner
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola 64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$467,480 Wol.
$467,480 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Peltola
64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
37%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 37%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$467,480 Wol.
$467,480 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Mary Peltola
$244,185 Wol.
64%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
$137,824 Wol.
37%
Richard Grayson
$24,107 Wol.
<1%
Dustin Darden
$23,336 Wol.
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
$0 Wol.
<1%
Ann Diener
$36,064 Wol.
<1%
David Leslie
$1,963 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads trader sentiment in the 2026 Alaska Senate race following her strong performance in the August nonpartisan primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The contest, rated a tossup by multiple forecasters, features ranked-choice voting that could consolidate support for the Democrat among independents and moderate voters in this swing state. Peltola's fundraising advantage and prior upset victory in the state's at-large House seat have boosted her implied probability, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state's Republican lean. Minor candidates, including two additional Republicans, remain negligible factors in the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Wolumen
$467,480Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola leads trader sentiment in the 2026 Alaska Senate race following her strong performance in the August nonpartisan primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The contest, rated a tossup by multiple forecasters, features ranked-choice voting that could consolidate support for the Democrat among independents and moderate voters in this swing state. Peltola's fundraising advantage and prior upset victory in the state's at-large House seat have boosted her implied probability, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state's Republican lean. Minor candidates, including two additional Republicans, remain negligible factors in the general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Wolumen
$467,480Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads trader sentiment in the 2026 Alaska Senate race following her strong performance in the August nonpartisan primary, where she captured 49.5% of the vote ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The contest, rated a tossup by multiple forecasters, features ranked-choice voting that could consolidate support for the Democrat among independents and moderate voters in this swing state. Peltola's fundraising advantage and prior upset victory in the state's at-large House seat have boosted her implied probability, while Sullivan benefits from incumbency and the state's Republican lean. Minor candidates, including two additional Republicans, remain negligible factors in the general election on November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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