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icon for Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Polityka·Rozjazd

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

icon for Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
Polityka·Rozjazd

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

<230K 44%

230K-245K 44%

260K-275K 44%

275K-290K 44%

Polymarket
NOWE

<230K 44%

230K-245K 44%

260K-275K 44%

275K-290K 44%

Polymarket
NOWE

<230K

$0 Wol.

44%

230K-245K

$0 Wol.

44%

245K-260K

$0 Wol.

41%

260K-275K

$0 Wol.

44%

275K-290K

$0 Wol.

44%

290K-305K

$0 Wol.

44%

305K-320K

$0 Wol.

44%

320K+

$0 Wol.

44%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive nonpartisan primary between incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has kept voter engagement elevated while historical patterns in Alaska's low-turnout primaries create offsetting uncertainty. Recent polling averages showed the race within a few points, sustaining interest across partisan and independent voters ahead of the August 18 top-four contest that advances candidates to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Early voting participation, weather conditions on Election Day, and mobilization efforts by both campaigns have produced mixed signals on total ballots cast. With multiple turnout brackets trading within a narrow range, final certified vote counts from rural precincts and any late adjustments to participation estimates remain the key variables that could widen spreads.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The competitive nonpartisan primary between incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan and Democratic challenger Mary Peltola has kept voter engagement elevated while historical patterns in Alaska's low-turnout primaries create offsetting uncertainty. Recent polling averages showed the race within a few points, sustaining interest across partisan and independent voters ahead of the August 18 top-four contest that advances candidates to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. Early voting participation, weather conditions on Election Day, and mobilization efforts by both campaigns have produced mixed signals on total ballots cast. With multiple turnout brackets trading within a narrow range, final certified vote counts from rural precincts and any late adjustments to participation estimates remain the key variables that could widen spreads.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$0
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 10:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 8 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "<230K" z 45%, za nim "230K-245K" z 45%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 45¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)" jest "<230K" z 45%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 45% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "230K-245K" z 45%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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