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icon for トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?

トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?

icon for トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?

トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?

はい

50% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

50% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have aligned legislative priorities with the White House, reducing the volume of bills likely to prompt a veto.** Bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act advanced with veto-proof margins earlier in 2026, and recent stopgap funding legislation cleared both chambers by wide margins before heading to the president for expected signature. Trump has used leverage through delayed signings or demands on unrelated priorities like the SAVE America Act rather than formal vetoes, while Congress has largely avoided sending divisive legislation to his desk. With midterms approaching and a continuing resolution funding government operations through December already advancing, scheduled appropriations and policy deadlines have proceeded without major confrontations that would shift the implied probability away from no vetoes for the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,321
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress have aligned legislative priorities with the White House, reducing the volume of bills likely to prompt a veto.** Bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act advanced with veto-proof margins earlier in 2026, and recent stopgap funding legislation cleared both chambers by wide margins before heading to the president for expected signature. Trump has used leverage through delayed signings or demands on unrelated priorities like the SAVE America Act rather than formal vetoes, while Congress has largely avoided sending divisive legislation to his desk. With midterms approaching and a continuing resolution funding government operations through December already advancing, scheduled appropriations and policy deadlines have proceeded without major confrontations that would shift the implied probability away from no vetoes for the remainder of the year.

This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.

The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$5,321
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トランプは2026年に拒否権を行使しますか?」で45%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jun 25, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

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「トランプ氏は2026年に拒否権を発動するか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「トランプは2026年に拒否権を行使しますか?」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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