Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has produced diplomatic friction with Denmark and NATO allies but no transfer of sovereignty, leaving roughly four months until the 2027 deadline. Copenhagen and Nuuk have consistently rejected purchase offers, while procedural requirements for any territorial change—including legislative approval in multiple capitals and potential referendums—face steep institutional and political barriers. Recent escalations, such as tariff threats and renewed pressure at the July 2026 NATO summit, yielded only a framework discussion that produced no binding agreement, and subsequent oil exploration moves have not altered Greenland's status. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because these timelines and opposition patterns make completion improbable absent an unprecedented breakthrough. Even a late diplomatic concession or compact of free association would still need rapid ratification unlikely before January 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
3% 確率
$35,301,838 Vol.
$35,301,838 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
3% 確率
$35,301,838 Vol.
$35,301,838 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has produced diplomatic friction with Denmark and NATO allies but no transfer of sovereignty, leaving roughly four months until the 2027 deadline. Copenhagen and Nuuk have consistently rejected purchase offers, while procedural requirements for any territorial change—including legislative approval in multiple capitals and potential referendums—face steep institutional and political barriers. Recent escalations, such as tariff threats and renewed pressure at the July 2026 NATO summit, yielded only a framework discussion that produced no binding agreement, and subsequent oil exploration moves have not altered Greenland's status. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because these timelines and opposition patterns make completion improbable absent an unprecedented breakthrough. Even a late diplomatic concession or compact of free association would still need rapid ratification unlikely before January 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
マーケット開始日： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
音量
$35,301,838終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has produced diplomatic friction with Denmark and NATO allies but no transfer of sovereignty, leaving roughly four months until the 2027 deadline. Copenhagen and Nuuk have consistently rejected purchase offers, while procedural requirements for any territorial change—including legislative approval in multiple capitals and potential referendums—face steep institutional and political barriers. Recent escalations, such as tariff threats and renewed pressure at the July 2026 NATO summit, yielded only a framework discussion that produced no binding agreement, and subsequent oil exploration moves have not altered Greenland's status. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because these timelines and opposition patterns make completion improbable absent an unprecedented breakthrough. Even a late diplomatic concession or compact of free association would still need rapid ratification unlikely before January 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
音量
$35,301,838終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's renewed push for U.S. acquisition of Greenland has produced diplomatic friction with Denmark and NATO allies but no transfer of sovereignty, leaving roughly four months until the 2027 deadline. Copenhagen and Nuuk have consistently rejected purchase offers, while procedural requirements for any territorial change—including legislative approval in multiple capitals and potential referendums—face steep institutional and political barriers. Recent escalations, such as tariff threats and renewed pressure at the July 2026 NATO summit, yielded only a framework discussion that produced no binding agreement, and subsequent oil exploration moves have not altered Greenland's status. Traders price the "No" outcome near 97 percent because these timelines and opposition patterns make completion improbable absent an unprecedented breakthrough. Even a late diplomatic concession or compact of free association would still need rapid ratification unlikely before January 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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