The Salvator Mundi’s 81.5% “No” odds stem primarily from its nearly nine-year absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, with the work confirmed in Geneva storage and no verified exhibition or loan agreements in place. Past plans, including the 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, were indefinitely postponed amid attribution debates and owner preferences, while the intended Riyadh or Al-Ula museum anchors remain under construction with timelines stretching beyond 2026. Art-world observers note the owner’s pattern of prioritizing a permanent cultural centerpiece for Vision 2030 over short-term displays, reinforced by the lack of guild-style previews, institutional announcements, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper. With the December 31 deadline approaching and no late catalysts emerging, traders see limited pathways for a sudden public unveiling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?
18% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
18% 確率
新規
新規
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The Salvator Mundi’s 81.5% “No” odds stem primarily from its nearly nine-year absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, with the work confirmed in Geneva storage and no verified exhibition or loan agreements in place. Past plans, including the 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, were indefinitely postponed amid attribution debates and owner preferences, while the intended Riyadh or Al-Ula museum anchors remain under construction with timelines stretching beyond 2026. Art-world observers note the owner’s pattern of prioritizing a permanent cultural centerpiece for Vision 2030 over short-term displays, reinforced by the lack of guild-style previews, institutional announcements, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper. With the December 31 deadline approaching and no late catalysts emerging, traders see limited pathways for a sudden public unveiling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
マーケット開始日： May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
音量
$2,226終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.The Salvator Mundi’s 81.5% “No” odds stem primarily from its nearly nine-year absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, with the work confirmed in Geneva storage and no verified exhibition or loan agreements in place. Past plans, including the 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, were indefinitely postponed amid attribution debates and owner preferences, while the intended Riyadh or Al-Ula museum anchors remain under construction with timelines stretching beyond 2026. Art-world observers note the owner’s pattern of prioritizing a permanent cultural centerpiece for Vision 2030 over short-term displays, reinforced by the lack of guild-style previews, institutional announcements, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper. With the December 31 deadline approaching and no late catalysts emerging, traders see limited pathways for a sudden public unveiling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo da Vinci's "Salvator Mundi" is displayed in a publicly accessible exhibition or permanent gallery installation at any museum, gallery, or cultural institution by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
For the purposes of this market, "publicly accessible" is defined as a location to which members of the general public can purchase tickets or otherwise gain admission to view the listed artwork.
Private viewings, VIP previews, displays at auction house pre-sale exhibitions, displays at art fairs, displays of photographs or reproductions of the work, or displays of digital or NFT versions of the work will NOT be sufficient to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to official press releases from exhibiting institutions, or credible reporting from The Art Newspaper, Artnet News, or The New York Times.
音量
$2,226終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
May 26, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Salvator Mundi’s 81.5% “No” odds stem primarily from its nearly nine-year absence from public view since the 2017 Christie’s sale to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, with the work confirmed in Geneva storage and no verified exhibition or loan agreements in place. Past plans, including the 2018 Louvre Abu Dhabi debut, were indefinitely postponed amid attribution debates and owner preferences, while the intended Riyadh or Al-Ula museum anchors remain under construction with timelines stretching beyond 2026. Art-world observers note the owner’s pattern of prioritizing a permanent cultural centerpiece for Vision 2030 over short-term displays, reinforced by the lack of guild-style previews, institutional announcements, or credible reporting from outlets like The Art Newspaper. With the December 31 deadline approaching and no late catalysts emerging, traders see limited pathways for a sudden public unveiling.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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