Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed U.S.-Iran frictions that have pushed crude oil above $90 per barrel, represent the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. Tight distillate inventories, robust refining margins, and sustained summer demand have supported the national average, which approached record Labor Day levels around $4.03. Natural gas futures near $2.98 per MMBtu reflect separate dynamics of late-summer heat boosting power generation demand and rising LNG exports, tempered by ample storage builds. With resolution approaching the end of September, traders are monitoring potential supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and any de-escalation signals that could influence crude benchmarks and refined product pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/09/30
↑ $4.50
49%
↑ $4.40
51%
↑ $4.30
57%
↑ $4.20
75%
↓ $4.00
53%
↓ $3.90
14%
↓ $3.70
31%
↓ $3.50
14%
$243 Vol.
↑ $4.50
$0 Vol.
49%
↑ $4.40
$0 Vol.
51%
↑ $4.30
$0 Vol.
57%
↑ $4.20
$243 Vol.
75%
↓ $4.00
$0 Vol.
53%
↓ $3.90
$0 Vol.
14%
↓ $3.70
$0 Vol.
31%
↓ $3.50
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed U.S.-Iran frictions that have pushed crude oil above $90 per barrel, represent the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. Tight distillate inventories, robust refining margins, and sustained summer demand have supported the national average, which approached record Labor Day levels around $4.03. Natural gas futures near $2.98 per MMBtu reflect separate dynamics of late-summer heat boosting power generation demand and rising LNG exports, tempered by ample storage builds. With resolution approaching the end of September, traders are monitoring potential supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and any de-escalation signals that could influence crude benchmarks and refined product pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
音量
$243終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed U.S.-Iran frictions that have pushed crude oil above $90 per barrel, represent the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. Tight distillate inventories, robust refining margins, and sustained summer demand have supported the national average, which approached record Labor Day levels around $4.03. Natural gas futures near $2.98 per MMBtu reflect separate dynamics of late-summer heat boosting power generation demand and rising LNG exports, tempered by ample storage builds. With resolution approaching the end of September, traders are monitoring potential supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and any de-escalation signals that could influence crude benchmarks and refined product pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and September 30, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
音量
$243終了日
2026/09/30マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 5:47 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed U.S.-Iran frictions that have pushed crude oil above $90 per barrel, represent the dominant driver of elevated U.S. gasoline prices near $4.15 per gallon as of early September 2026. Tight distillate inventories, robust refining margins, and sustained summer demand have supported the national average, which approached record Labor Day levels around $4.03. Natural gas futures near $2.98 per MMBtu reflect separate dynamics of late-summer heat boosting power generation demand and rising LNG exports, tempered by ample storage builds. With resolution approaching the end of September, traders are monitoring potential supply disruptions, seasonal demand shifts, and any de-escalation signals that could influence crude benchmarks and refined product pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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