Tim Cook’s planned transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman, effective September 1, 2026, with hardware lead John Ternus stepping in, anchors trader sentiment on this market. Official announcements and steady AI hardware momentum have driven near-certain resolution for Cook, while low implied probabilities—roughly 6-8%—for Sam Altman at OpenAI, Sundar Pichai at Google, Andy Jassy at Amazon, and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase reflect limited signals of imminent change despite ongoing AI-driven restructurings, executive churn at labs like DeepMind and OpenAI, and competitive pressures. Upcoming earnings calls and potential regulatory or competitive developments through year-end remain the key swing factors traders are monitoring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$714,506 Vol.
2026/12/31
サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
7%
ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
6%
サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
6%
アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
5%
ダン・クランシー - Twitch
4%
$714,506 Vol.
サンダー・ピチャイ - Google
$41,218 Vol.
7%
ブライアン・アームストロング - Coinbase
$85,350 Vol.
6%
サム・アルトマン - OpenAI
$97,243 Vol.
6%
アンディ・ジャシー - アマゾン
$29,421 Vol.
5%
ダン・クランシー - Twitch
$44,288 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Tim Cook’s planned transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman, effective September 1, 2026, with hardware lead John Ternus stepping in, anchors trader sentiment on this market. Official announcements and steady AI hardware momentum have driven near-certain resolution for Cook, while low implied probabilities—roughly 6-8%—for Sam Altman at OpenAI, Sundar Pichai at Google, Andy Jassy at Amazon, and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase reflect limited signals of imminent change despite ongoing AI-driven restructurings, executive churn at labs like DeepMind and OpenAI, and competitive pressures. Upcoming earnings calls and potential regulatory or competitive developments through year-end remain the key swing factors traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET
音量
$714,506終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Tim Cook’s planned transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman, effective September 1, 2026, with hardware lead John Ternus stepping in, anchors trader sentiment on this market. Official announcements and steady AI hardware momentum have driven near-certain resolution for Cook, while low implied probabilities—roughly 6-8%—for Sam Altman at OpenAI, Sundar Pichai at Google, Andy Jassy at Amazon, and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase reflect limited signals of imminent change despite ongoing AI-driven restructurings, executive churn at labs like DeepMind and OpenAI, and competitive pressures. Upcoming earnings calls and potential regulatory or competitive developments through year-end remain the key swing factors traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
音量
$714,506終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Tim Cook’s planned transition from Apple CEO to executive chairman, effective September 1, 2026, with hardware lead John Ternus stepping in, anchors trader sentiment on this market. Official announcements and steady AI hardware momentum have driven near-certain resolution for Cook, while low implied probabilities—roughly 6-8%—for Sam Altman at OpenAI, Sundar Pichai at Google, Andy Jassy at Amazon, and Brian Armstrong at Coinbase reflect limited signals of imminent change despite ongoing AI-driven restructurings, executive churn at labs like DeepMind and OpenAI, and competitive pressures. Upcoming earnings calls and potential regulatory or competitive developments through year-end remain the key swing factors traders are monitoring.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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