The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has faced elevated security risks amid the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related regional tensions with Iran. In February 2026 the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, suspended routine consular services, and repeatedly urged American citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial flights remained available. Airstrikes have targeted areas near Beirut, prompting further alerts through April. By June, reports emerged of U.S.-backed proposals for mutual halts in fighting, though implementation remains uncertain. Trader assessments of full embassy evacuation by any specific deadline hinge on the trajectory of hostilities, diplomatic staffing decisions, and any new threat assessments or ordered departures within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$117,779 Vol.
12月31日
4%
$117,779 Vol.
12月31日
4%
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
マーケット開始日: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has faced elevated security risks amid the ongoing Israel-Hezbollah conflict and related regional tensions with Iran. In February 2026 the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency personnel and family members, suspended routine consular services, and repeatedly urged American citizens to leave Lebanon while commercial flights remained available. Airstrikes have targeted areas near Beirut, prompting further alerts through April. By June, reports emerged of U.S.-backed proposals for mutual halts in fighting, though implementation remains uncertain. Trader assessments of full embassy evacuation by any specific deadline hinge on the trajectory of hostilities, diplomatic staffing decisions, and any new threat assessments or ordered departures within the resolution window.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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