The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential diplomatic and security personnel since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and eligible family members in late February 2026, citing heightened regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and cross-border conflict dynamics involving Hezbollah. This partial drawdown occurred amid U.S. military repositioning in the region and followed earlier citizen advisories urging commercial departures while flights remained available. No subsequent full embassy closure or complete evacuation has been announced, even as security alerts continued into spring 2026 and the overall travel advisory stayed at Level 4. Trader assessments of any near-term full evacuation hinge on whether diplomatic posture shifts due to escalation signals, ceasefire progress, or new threats within resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$117,779 Vol.
2026/12/30
12月31日
4%
$117,779 Vol.
12月31日
$23,677 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential diplomatic and security personnel since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and eligible family members in late February 2026, citing heightened regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and cross-border conflict dynamics involving Hezbollah. This partial drawdown occurred amid U.S. military repositioning in the region and followed earlier citizen advisories urging commercial departures while flights remained available. No subsequent full embassy closure or complete evacuation has been announced, even as security alerts continued into spring 2026 and the overall travel advisory stayed at Level 4. Trader assessments of any near-term full evacuation hinge on whether diplomatic posture shifts due to escalation signals, ceasefire progress, or new threats within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
マーケット開始日： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$117,779終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential diplomatic and security personnel since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and eligible family members in late February 2026, citing heightened regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and cross-border conflict dynamics involving Hezbollah. This partial drawdown occurred amid U.S. military repositioning in the region and followed earlier citizen advisories urging commercial departures while flights remained available. No subsequent full embassy closure or complete evacuation has been announced, even as security alerts continued into spring 2026 and the overall travel advisory stayed at Level 4. Trader assessments of any near-term full evacuation hinge on whether diplomatic posture shifts due to escalation signals, ceasefire progress, or new threats within resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
音量
$117,779終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has remained operational with essential diplomatic and security personnel since the State Department ordered the departure of non-emergency staff and eligible family members in late February 2026, citing heightened regional security risks tied to Iran-related tensions and cross-border conflict dynamics involving Hezbollah. This partial drawdown occurred amid U.S. military repositioning in the region and followed earlier citizen advisories urging commercial departures while flights remained available. No subsequent full embassy closure or complete evacuation has been announced, even as security alerts continued into spring 2026 and the overall travel advisory stayed at Level 4. Trader assessments of any near-term full evacuation hinge on whether diplomatic posture shifts due to escalation signals, ceasefire progress, or new threats within resolution windows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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