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icon for 鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?

鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?

icon for 鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?

鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

4% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.Clavicular, the American looksmaxxing streamer Braden Peters, maintains a public profile centered on physical optimization, livestreaming, and online challenges rather than religious observance. His early July 2026 arrival in Israel, primarily in Tel Aviv with reported security arrangements, drew follower backlash and taunts from certain online circles but produced no verified photographic or video evidence of direct lip contact with the Western Wall. Trader consensus at 97% No reflects this mismatch between his established content focus and the specific act required for market resolution by year-end, alongside the absence of any subsequent developments indicating intent or execution. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unannounced Jerusalem visit or a deliberate content pivot, though both remain low-probability given audience dynamics and his documented travel patterns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$7,182
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.Clavicular, the American looksmaxxing streamer Braden Peters, maintains a public profile centered on physical optimization, livestreaming, and online challenges rather than religious observance. His early July 2026 arrival in Israel, primarily in Tel Aviv with reported security arrangements, drew follower backlash and taunts from certain online circles but produced no verified photographic or video evidence of direct lip contact with the Western Wall. Trader consensus at 97% No reflects this mismatch between his established content focus and the specific act required for market resolution by year-end, alongside the absence of any subsequent developments indicating intent or execution. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include an unannounced Jerusalem visit or a deliberate content pivot, though both remain low-probability given audience dynamics and his documented travel patterns.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice.

The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$7,182
終了日
2027/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 9, 2026, 8:46 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「クラビキュラーは2026年に西壁にキスしますか?」で4%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、4¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に4%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Jul 9, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?」の現在のリーダーは「クラビキュラーは2026年に西壁にキスしますか?」でわずか4%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「鎖骨は2026年に西の壁にキスしますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。