Lacy and Marlon’s September 2026 multi-game gauntlet, completed after roughly 25 hours on Warzone and Fortnite, has shifted focus to Hardcore Minecraft where cumulative duo deaths drive this market. Trader consensus shows tight clustering across low-to-mid bins because prior endurance runs produced wide outcome ranges—around 60 deaths over four days in their 2025 Minecraft marathon and 47 falls in a 2026 Chained Together session—highlighting inconsistent execution under fatigue. Limited recent Hardcore practice, duo coordination challenges, and marathon-length stamina demands create high variance, with potential for early death spikes from common mobs or steadier progress once momentum builds. This skin-in-the-game pricing captures the competitive uncertainty between controlled advancement and unpredictable setbacks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日2-3 22%
<2 18%
10-11 13%
6-7 12.1%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
<2
18%
2-3
22%
4-5
12%
6-7
12%
8-9
11%
10-11
13%
12-13
9%
14-15
2%
16+
9%
2-3 22%
<2 18%
10-11 13%
6-7 12.1%
新規
新規
2026/09/30
<2
$445 Vol.
18%
2-3
$1,245 Vol.
22%
4-5
$551 Vol.
12%
6-7
$882 Vol.
12%
8-9
$307 Vol.
11%
10-11
$756 Vol.
13%
12-13
$613 Vol.
9%
14-15
$400 Vol.
2%
16+
$3,824 Vol.
9%
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon’s September 2026 multi-game gauntlet, completed after roughly 25 hours on Warzone and Fortnite, has shifted focus to Hardcore Minecraft where cumulative duo deaths drive this market. Trader consensus shows tight clustering across low-to-mid bins because prior endurance runs produced wide outcome ranges—around 60 deaths over four days in their 2025 Minecraft marathon and 47 falls in a 2026 Chained Together session—highlighting inconsistent execution under fatigue. Limited recent Hardcore practice, duo coordination challenges, and marathon-length stamina demands create high variance, with potential for early death spikes from common mobs or steadier progress once momentum builds. This skin-in-the-game pricing captures the competitive uncertainty between controlled advancement and unpredictable setbacks.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ET
音量
$9,023終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon’s September 2026 multi-game gauntlet, completed after roughly 25 hours on Warzone and Fortnite, has shifted focus to Hardcore Minecraft where cumulative duo deaths drive this market. Trader consensus shows tight clustering across low-to-mid bins because prior endurance runs produced wide outcome ranges—around 60 deaths over four days in their 2025 Minecraft marathon and 47 falls in a 2026 Chained Together session—highlighting inconsistent execution under fatigue. Limited recent Hardcore practice, duo coordination challenges, and marathon-length stamina demands create high variance, with potential for early death spikes from common mobs or steadier progress once momentum builds. This skin-in-the-game pricing captures the competitive uncertainty between controlled advancement and unpredictable setbacks.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
This market will resolve according to the number of both-player Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon.
The number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of both-player deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.
If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Minecraft both-player deaths during the entire marathon.
This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.
If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.
The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
音量
$9,023終了日
2026/10/01マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 10:22 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Lacy and Marlon’s September 2026 multi-game gauntlet, completed after roughly 25 hours on Warzone and Fortnite, has shifted focus to Hardcore Minecraft where cumulative duo deaths drive this market. Trader consensus shows tight clustering across low-to-mid bins because prior endurance runs produced wide outcome ranges—around 60 deaths over four days in their 2025 Minecraft marathon and 47 falls in a 2026 Chained Together session—highlighting inconsistent execution under fatigue. Limited recent Hardcore practice, duo coordination challenges, and marathon-length stamina demands create high variance, with potential for early death spikes from common mobs or steadier progress once momentum builds. This skin-in-the-game pricing captures the competitive uncertainty between controlled advancement and unpredictable setbacks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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