The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8, below consensus forecasts near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline from August’s final 51.7. Heightened fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and broader cost-of-living pressures drove the drop, pushing one-year inflation expectations up to 4.6 percent—the highest since June—while the expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8. These developments have concentrated trader-implied probabilities on the 46.0–48.9 bucket at 68.5 percent, consistent with historical revision patterns ahead of the September 25 final release. Persistent geopolitical risks and elevated energy costs continue to weigh on household views, limiting scope for meaningful upside in the final print while keeping downside risks contained near current levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日46.0〜48.9 68%
55.0から57.9 14.8%
49.0から51.9 14%
58.0以上 12%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
43.0未満
5%
43.0から45.9
8%
46.0〜48.9
68%
49.0から51.9
14%
52.0から54.9
17%
55.0から57.9
15%
58.0以上
14%
46.0〜48.9 68%
55.0から57.9 14.8%
49.0から51.9 14%
58.0以上 12%
新規
新規
2026/09/25
43.0未満
$264 Vol.
5%
43.0から45.9
$60 Vol.
8%
46.0〜48.9
$182 Vol.
68%
49.0から51.9
$45 Vol.
14%
52.0から54.9
$85 Vol.
17%
55.0から57.9
$50 Vol.
15%
58.0以上
$50 Vol.
14%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8, below consensus forecasts near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline from August’s final 51.7. Heightened fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and broader cost-of-living pressures drove the drop, pushing one-year inflation expectations up to 4.6 percent—the highest since June—while the expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8. These developments have concentrated trader-implied probabilities on the 46.0–48.9 bucket at 68.5 percent, consistent with historical revision patterns ahead of the September 25 final release. Persistent geopolitical risks and elevated energy costs continue to weigh on household views, limiting scope for meaningful upside in the final print while keeping downside risks contained near current levels.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日： Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ET
音量
$736終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETThis is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8, below consensus forecasts near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline from August’s final 51.7. Heightened fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and broader cost-of-living pressures drove the drop, pushing one-year inflation expectations up to 4.6 percent—the highest since June—while the expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8. These developments have concentrated trader-implied probabilities on the 46.0–48.9 bucket at 68.5 percent, consistent with historical revision patterns ahead of the September 25 final release. Persistent geopolitical risks and elevated energy costs continue to weigh on household views, limiting scope for meaningful upside in the final print while keeping downside risks contained near current levels.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for September 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for September 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for September 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
音量
$736終了日
2026/09/25マーケット開始日
Sep 8, 2026, 4:34 PM ETThe preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September 2026 printed at 47.8, below consensus forecasts near 51 and marking the second consecutive monthly decline from August’s final 51.7. Heightened fuel prices, ongoing trade tensions, and broader cost-of-living pressures drove the drop, pushing one-year inflation expectations up to 4.6 percent—the highest since June—while the expectations sub-index fell sharply to 45.8. These developments have concentrated trader-implied probabilities on the 46.0–48.9 bucket at 68.5 percent, consistent with historical revision patterns ahead of the September 25 final release. Persistent geopolitical risks and elevated energy costs continue to weigh on household views, limiting scope for meaningful upside in the final print while keeping downside risks contained near current levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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