Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core rising 0.3% month-over-month amid elevated gasoline and energy prices, anchors trader focus on September's annual rate. The Cleveland Fed's September nowcast of 3.43% and University of Michigan survey showing one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6% reflect persistent supply-side pressures from geopolitical tensions. These factors support clustered implied probabilities around 3.4-3.6%, with 3.5% holding the narrowest lead at 32%. Upcoming FOMC decisions and October 14 CPI release remain key swing catalysts, as markets weigh whether sticky readings prompt further policy tightening beyond the widely anticipated September hike.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日3.5% 33%
3.6% 31%
3.4% 22%
3.7% 9%
2.9%以下
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
4%
3.4%
22%
3.5%
33%
3.6%
31%
3.7%
9%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
1%
4.0%以上
4%
3.5% 33%
3.6% 31%
3.4% 22%
3.7% 9%
2.9%以下
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
5%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
4%
3.4%
22%
3.5%
33%
3.6%
31%
3.7%
9%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
1%
4.0%以上
4%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: Sep 11, 2026, 11:27 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent August CPI data at 3.4% year-over-year, with core rising 0.3% month-over-month amid elevated gasoline and energy prices, anchors trader focus on September's annual rate. The Cleveland Fed's September nowcast of 3.43% and University of Michigan survey showing one-year inflation expectations jumping to 4.6% reflect persistent supply-side pressures from geopolitical tensions. These factors support clustered implied probabilities around 3.4-3.6%, with 3.5% holding the narrowest lead at 32%. Upcoming FOMC decisions and October 14 CPI release remain key swing catalysts, as markets weigh whether sticky readings prompt further policy tightening beyond the widely anticipated September hike.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問